Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo-PB win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Mixto had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 30.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo-PB win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Mixto win was 1-0 (11.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood.