Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Novorizontino win with a probability of 66.48%. A draw had a probability of 23.49% and a win for Nacional AM had a probability of 10.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Novorizontino win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.78%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.13%) , while for a Nacional AM win it was 0-1 (5.53%).