Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 (11.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.