Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2026 1.30am
Estadio General Pablo Rojas

Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Porteno

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 11.00pm
Cerro Porteno 1 - 0 Junior

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 11.00pm
Palmeiras 2 - 1 Cristal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Cerro Porteno has a probability of 36.01% and a draw has a probability of 27.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.53%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win is 1-0 (11.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.91%).

Result

Cerro Porteno 36.01% (+0.79)
Draw 27.18% (-0.36)
Palmeiras 36.81% (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.74% (+0.59)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.22% (+0.69)
Under 1.5 32.78% (-0.69)
Over 2.5 40.77% (+0.81)
Under 2.5 59.23% (-0.81)
Over 3.5 20.1% (+0.59)
Under 3.5 79.9% (-0.58)
Over 4.5 10.58% (+0.39)
Under 4.5 89.42% (-0.38)

First Half Winner

Cerro Porteno 32.96% (-0.08)
Draw 44.34% (-0.22)
Palmeiras 22.7% (+0.29)

Team To Score First

Cerro Porteno 53.64% (+0.17)
No Goal 9.89% (-0.35)
Palmeiras 36.47% (+0.19)

Corners

Over 8 57.57% (+2.29)
Equal 8 11.55% (-0.31)
Under 8 30.87% (-1.99)
Over 9 45.82% (+2.40)
Equal 9 11.76% (-0.10)
Under 9 42.43% (-2.29)
Over 10.5 34.85% (+2.29)
Under 10.5 65.15% (-2.29)

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 1.5 30.52% (+0.90)
Under 1.5 69.48% (-0.90)
Over 2.5 11.17% (+0.66)
Under 2.5 88.83% (-0.66)
Over 3.5 3.23% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 96.77% (-0.25)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 65.94% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 34.06% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 31.46% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 68.54% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.6% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 88.4% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.51% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 96.49% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Cerro Porteno 36.01%
Draw 27.18%
Palmeiras 36.81%
Cerro Porteno
1-0 @ 11.44% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.28% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 6.71% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.84% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 2.81% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 1.72% (+0.12)
Other @ 3.21% (+0.28)
Total : 36.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 9.89% (-0.35)
2-2 @ 3.79% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.02% (-0.04)
Total : 27.18%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 11.45% (-0.27)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.82% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 36.81%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
May 8, 2025 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio General Pablo Rojas
  • Wilder Viera 82' yellowcard
  • Wilder Viera 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Fuchs 21'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fuchs 21'
  • yellowcard Lucas Evangelista 23'
  • yellowcard Lucas Evangelista 23'
  • goal Estevao Willian 41'
  • goal Estevao Willian 41'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 74'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 74'
  • goal Vitor Roque 90'+4'
  • goal Vitor Roque 90'+4'
Copa Libertadores
Apr 10, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Richard Rios 41' goal
  • Richard Rios 41' goal
  • yellowcard Robert Piris 70'
  • yellowcard Robert Piris 70'
  • yellowcard Jorge Morel 84'
  • yellowcard Jorge Morel 84'
Copa Libertadores
May 24, 2023 11.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Artur 25'
  • goal Artur 58'
  • goal Rony 68'
Copa Libertadores
Apr 21, 2023 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Gustavo Gomez 64' goal
  • Rafael Navarro 76' goal
  • goal Damian Bobadilla 5'
Copa Libertadores
Jul 6, 2022 11.15pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Braian Samudio 37' goal
  • Gabriel Menino 40' yellowcard
  • Danilo 52' yellowcard
  • Rony 59' yellowcard
  • Rony 73' goal
  • Breno Lopes 75' goal
  • Gustavo Gomez 78' goal
  • Rony 83' goal
  • yellowcard Juan Patino 46'
  • yellowcard Alberto Espinola 83'
Copa Libertadores
Jun 29, 2022 11.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio General Pablo Rojas
  • Alberto Espinola 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustavo Scarpa 56'
  • goal Rony 61'
  • goal Rony 71'
  • goal Murilo Cerqueira 87'