Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 57.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.18% and a win for Santos had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.63%) and 2-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%) , while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.