Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (10.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.