Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Athletic Club had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Athletic Club win was 1-0 (10.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.