Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Club win with a probability of 47.19%. A draw had a probability of 27.23% and a win for Ypiranga Erechim had a probability of 25.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%) , while for a Ypiranga Erechim win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.