Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ypiranga Erechim win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.53% and a win for Ji-Parana had a probability of 12.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ypiranga Erechim win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%) , while for a Ji-Parana win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.