Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portuguesa MS win with a probability of 39.43%. A draw had a probability of 31.52% and a win for Ji-Parana had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portuguesa MS win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.94%) and 1-2 (7.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.58%) , while for a Ji-Parana win it was 1-0 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.