Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Club win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Rio Branco ES had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 29.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Rio Branco ES win was 1-0 (11.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.