Copa do Brasil
Mar 18, 2026 12.30am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
  • Zé Marcos 17' yellowcard
  • Carlos de Pena 55' yellowcard
  • Ramon Menezes 55' yellowcard
  • Iury Castilho 61' goal
  • Biel Fonseca 78' yellowcard
  • Micael de Barros Viturino 78' yellowcard
  • Micael 78' yellowcard
  • goal Dixon Vera 4'
  • yellowcard Gustavinho 21'
  • yellowcard Kauan 59'
  • goal Ronaldo Tavares 67'
  • yellowcard Jota 72'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Índio 72'
  • goal Ronaldo Tavares 90'+6'

Sport Recife vs Athletic Club - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sport Recife

All competitions

Athletic Club

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Athletic Club had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Athletic Club win was 0-1 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result

Sport Recife 47.14% (+0.25)
Draw 25.88% (-0.20)
Athletic Club 26.98%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.81% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.09% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 24.91% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 51.16% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 48.84% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 28.07% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.93% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 15.89% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 84.11% (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Sport Recife 33.97% (-0.53)
Draw 42.4% (-0.25)
Athletic Club 23.63% (+0.76)

Team To Score First

Sport Recife 55.57% (-0.93)
No Goal 7.2% (+0.21)
Athletic Club 37.23% (+0.71)

Corners

Over 8 59.44% (+3.47)
Equal 8 11.17% (-0.18)
Under 8 29.39% (-3.29)
Over 9 47.91% (+3.34)
Equal 9 11.53% (+0.13)
Under 9 40.56% (-3.47)
Over 10.5 36.99% (+2.96)
Under 10.5 63.01% (-2.95)

Sport Recife Goals

Over 1.5 45.17% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 54.83% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 20.69% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 79.31% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 7.59% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 92.41% (-0.19)

Athletic Club Goals

Over 0.5 62.66% (-0.48)
Under 0.5 37.34% (+0.48)
Over 1.5 28.98% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 71.02% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 9.82% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 90.18% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.01% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 96.99% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Sport Recife 47.14%
Draw 25.89%
Athletic Club 26.97%
Sport Recife
1-0 @ 10.32% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.79% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.63% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.7% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.4% (+0.17)
Total : 47.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.27)
0-0 @ 7.2% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.02)
Total : 25.89%
Athletic Club
0-1 @ 7.39% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.87% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.82% (+0.09)
Total : 26.97%