Brasileiro Gameweek 15
May 10, 2026 10.30pm
Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Santos vs Bragantino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 10.30pm
Palmeiras 1 - 1 Santos
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Alvaro Barreal

Bragantino

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 10.30pm
Chapecoense 1 - 2 Bragantino
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Isidro Pitta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Santos win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Bragantino has a probability of 31.98% and a draw has a probability of 27.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Bragantino win is 0-1 (9.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.49%).

Result

Santos 40.53% (-3.93)
Draw 27.52% (+0.60)
Bragantino 31.98% (+3.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.94% (+1.66)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.05% (+0.71)
Under 1.5 28.95% (-0.72)
Over 2.5 44.88% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 55.12% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 23.01% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 76.99% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 11.87% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 88.13% (+0.12)

First Half Winner

Santos 33.75% (-1.72)
Draw 44.72% (-2.39)
Bragantino 21.52% (+4.09)

Team To Score First

Santos 53.18% (-5.79)
No Goal 8.51% (-0.08)
Bragantino 38.31% (+5.86)

Corners

Over 8 59.86% (-2.08)
Equal 8 11.85% (+0.35)
Under 8 28.29% (+1.72)
Over 9 47.54% (-2.24)
Equal 9 12.32% (+0.17)
Under 9 40.14% (+2.08)
Over 10.5 35.89% (-2.19)
Under 10.5 64.11% (+2.19)

Santos Goals

Over 1.5 36.86% (-2.55)
Under 1.5 63.14% (+2.55)
Over 2.5 13.78% (-1.62)
Under 2.5 86.22% (+1.61)
Over 3.5 4.13% (-0.72)
Under 3.5 95.87% (+0.72)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5 65.85% (+3.43)
Under 0.5 34.15% (-3.43)
Over 1.5 30.46% (+3.09)
Under 1.5 69.54% (-3.09)
Over 2.5 10.42% (+1.40)
Under 2.5 89.58% (-1.40)
Over 3.5 2.81% (+0.40)
Under 3.5 97.19% (-0.40)

Score analysis

Santos 40.53%
Draw 27.53%
Bragantino 31.98%
Santos
1-0 @ 11.18% (-1.00)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.29)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-1.16)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.27)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.54)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.12% (-0.67)
Total : 40.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.49% (+0.52)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.81% (+0.24)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.05)
Total : 27.53%
Bragantino
0-1 @ 9.3% (+0.38)
1-2 @ 7.56% (+0.82)
0-2 @ 5.42% (+0.68)
1-3 @ 2.78% (+0.38)
0-3 @ 2.14% (+0.43)
2-3 @ 1.98% (+0.25)
Other @ 2.8% (+0.44)
Total : 31.98%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Sep 28, 2025 10.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Apr 28, 2025 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Urbano Caldeira
  • Diego Pituca 28' yellowcard
  • Diego Pituca 28' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Rollheiser 79' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Rollheiser 79' yellowcard
  • Deivid Washington 90'+4' goal
  • Deivid Washington 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Hurtado 22'
  • yellowcard Jose Hurtado 22'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Sasha 31'
  • yellowcard Guzman Rodriguez 31'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Sasha 31'
  • yellowcard Guzman Rodriguez 31'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Mendonca Pereira 61'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Mendonca Pereira 61'
  • goal Eduardo Sasha 63'
  • goal Eduardo Sasha 63'
  • goal Ignacio Laquintana 83'
  • goal Ignacio Laquintana 83'
  • yellowcard Lucas Barbosa 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Lucas Barbosa 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Oct 20, 2023 12.00am
1
3
HT : 0 4
FT Estadio Urbano Caldeira
  • Joao Paulo 26' yellowcard
  • Joao Paulo 27' yellowcard
  • Jean Lucas 44' yellowcard
  • Jean Lucas 44' yellowcard
  • Jean Lucas 45' yellowcard
  • Jean Lucas 45' yellowcard
  • Douglas Moreira 66' yellowcard
  • Douglas Moreira 66' yellowcard
  • Leo Ortiz 86' goal
  • Leo Ortiz 86' goal
  • Nonato 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Nonato 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Eduardo Sasha 9'
  • goal Eduardo Sasha 9'
  • goal Eduardo Sasha 29'
  • goal Eduardo Sasha 29'
  • goal Eric Ramires 47'
  • goal Eric Ramires 47'
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 28, 2023 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid
  • Vitinho 31' goal
  • Juninho Capixaba 75' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Oct 18, 2022 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Guilherme Camacho 51'
  • goal Angelo Gabriel 68'
  • goal Angelo Gabriel 69'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jun 19, 2022 1.00am
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Leo Baptistao 17' goal
  • Vinicius Zanocelo 23' yellowcard
  • Bruno Oliveira 25' yellowcard
  • Leo Baptistao 36' goal
  • Joao Paulo 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raul 20'
  • goal Hyoran 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Helinho 61'
  • goal Luan Candido 71'
  • yellowcard Bruno Praxedes 80'