Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (9.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.