Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 3
May 1, 2026 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques
  • Gustavo Neves 35' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Sasha 53' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Marques 61' yellowcard
  • Fabinho 81' yellowcard
  • Fernando  81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giuliano Galoppo 46'
  • yellowcard Kendry Páez 46'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Freitas 83'
  • yellowcard Agustín Ruberto 90'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 90'
  • goal Lucas Martínez Quarta 90'+3'

Bragantino vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bragantino

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 17, 2026 1.30am
Bragantino 3 - 2 Blooming

River Plate

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 1.30am
River Plate 1 - 0 Carabobo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (10.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Bragantino 38.57% (-0.04)
Draw 27.06% (-0.04)
River Plate 34.33% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.63% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.9% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 30.1% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 43.91% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 56.09% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 23.06% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 76.93% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 12.2% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 87.8% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Bragantino 28.43%
Draw 46.96%
River Plate 24.6%

Team To Score First

Bragantino 49.57% (+0.03)
No Goal 8.74% (-0.03)
River Plate 41.69% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55%
Equal 8 12.37%
Under 8 32.63%
Over 9 42.65%
Equal 9 12.35%
Under 9 45%
Over 10.5 31.42%
Under 10.5 68.58%

Bragantino Goals

Over 1.5 34.78% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 65.22% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.54% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86.46% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.23%
Under 3.5 95.77%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 66.17% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 33.83% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 31.68% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 68.32% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 11.02% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 88.98% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.05% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.95% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bragantino 38.56%
Draw 27.06%
River Plate 34.33%
Bragantino
1-0 @ 11.14% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.86%
2-0 @ 6.92% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.16%
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 38.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.74% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 27.06%
River Plate
0-1 @ 10.17% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.93% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.11%
1-3 @ 2.9% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.24% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.98% (+0.01)
Total : 34.33%