Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 3
May 1, 2026 1.30am
Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques

Bragantino vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bragantino

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 17, 2026 1.30am
Bragantino 3 - 2 Blooming

River Plate

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 1.30am
River Plate 1 - 0 Carabobo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bragantino win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for River Plate has a probability of 34.3% and a draw has a probability of 27.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest River Plate win is 0-1 (10.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.97%).

Result

Bragantino 38.61% (-0.04)
Draw 27.09%
River Plate 34.3%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.6%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.88% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 30.12% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 43.85%
Under 2.5 56.15%
Over 3.5 23.03%
Under 3.5 76.97%
Over 4.5 12.18% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.82% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Bragantino 28.43%
Draw 46.96%
River Plate 24.6%

Team To Score First

Bragantino 49.55%
No Goal 8.77%
River Plate 41.68%

Corners

Over 8 55%
Equal 8 12.37%
Under 8 32.63%
Over 9 42.65%
Equal 9 12.35%
Under 9 45%
Over 10.5 31.42%
Under 10.5 68.58%

Bragantino Goals

Over 1.5 34.8% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 65.2% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.55% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.45% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.23% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.77% (+0.01)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 66.14% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 33.86% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 31.61% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 68.39% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.98%
Under 2.5 89.02%
Over 3.5 3.04%
Under 3.5 96.96%

Score analysis

Bragantino 38.62%
Draw 27.09%
River Plate 34.29%
Bragantino
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 7.86%
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.16%
Other @ 4.16% (-0.01)
Total : 38.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.77%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 27.09%
River Plate
0-1 @ 10.19%
1-2 @ 7.91%
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.29%