Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (10.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.