Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 15
Apr 19, 2026 9.00pm
Estadio Mâs Monumental

River Plate vs Boca Juniors - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 13, 2026 12.00am
Racing 0 - 2 River Plate
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Sebastián Driussi

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 11.30pm
Boca Juniors 1 - 1 Independiente
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Miguel Merentiel 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a River Plate win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw has a probability of 25.27% and a win for Boca Juniors has a probability of 23.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.09%) , while for a Boca Juniors win it is 0-1 (7.37%).

Result

River Plate 50.87% (+2.90)
Draw 25.27% (-1.16)
Boca Juniors 23.87% (-1.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.09% (-0.99)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.88% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 28.12% (+0.50)
Over 2.5 46.49% (-0.63)
Under 2.5 53.51% (+0.63)
Over 3.5 25.17% (+0.35)
Under 3.5 74.82% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 13.81% (+0.39)
Under 4.5 86.19% (-0.38)

First Half Winner

River Plate 36.44% (+0.34)
Draw 45.67% (+3.00)
Boca Juniors 17.9% (-3.34)

Team To Score First

River Plate 57.89% (+0.93)
No Goal 7.99% (-0.12)
Boca Juniors 34.12% (-0.82)

Corners

Over 8 50.98% (-0.58)
Equal 8 12.15% (+0.94)
Under 8 36.87% (-0.38)
Over 9 39.24% (-1.40)
Equal 9 11.74% (+0.84)
Under 9 49.02% (+0.58)
Over 10.5 28.83% (-2.03)
Under 10.5 71.17% (+2.02)

River Plate Goals

Over 1.5 45.02% (+1.41)
Under 1.5 54.98% (-1.41)
Over 2.5 19.46% (+1.04)
Under 2.5 80.54% (-1.04)
Over 3.5 6.78% (+0.49)
Under 3.5 93.22% (-0.49)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 58.57% (-1.97)
Under 0.5 41.43% (+1.97)
Over 1.5 24.28% (-2.16)
Under 1.5 75.72% (+2.16)
Over 2.5 7.61% (-1.01)
Under 2.5 92.39% (+1.02)
Over 3.5 1.92% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 98.08% (+0.24)

Score analysis

River Plate 50.86%
Draw 25.27%
Boca Juniors 23.87%
River Plate
1-0 @ 12.76% (+0.75)
2-1 @ 10% (+0.20)
2-0 @ 9.45% (+0.63)
3-1 @ 4.83% (+0.46)
3-0 @ 4.46% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.59% (+0.15)
Other @ 6.77% (+0.61)
Total : 50.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.33)
0-0 @ 7.99% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.46)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.13)
Total : 25.27%
Boca Juniors
0-1 @ 7.37% (-0.14)
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.67)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.19)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.60)
Other @ 1.91% (-0.12)
Total : 23.87%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Nov 9, 2025 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 15
Apr 27, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
  • Franco Mastantuono 25' goal
  • Sebastian Driussi 44' goal
  • Marcos Acuna 45' yellowcard
  • Miguel Borja 45' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Meza 56' yellowcard
  • Lucas Martinez 74' yellowcard
  • Franco Mastantuono 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Kevin Castano 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Belmonte 12'
  • yellowcard Ayrton Costa 19'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 23'
  • goal Miguel Merentiel 38'
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 62'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Battaglia 85'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 15
Sep 21, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
  • Miguel Merentiel 41' yellowcard
  • Marcos Rojo 52' yellowcard
  • Cristian Lema 89' yellowcard
  • Cristian Lema 90'+12' redcard
  • Milton Gimenez 90'+12' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Federico Gattoni 1'
  • goal Manuel Lanzini 20'
  • yellowcard Santiago Simon 44'
  • yellowcard Facundo Colidio 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Fonseca 50'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Bustos 79'
  • yellowcard Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 81'
Argentine Primera Division
Apr 21, 2024 7.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
  • Miguel Borja 10' goal
  • Claudio Echeverri 40' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Fernandez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Miguel Borja 48' yellowcard
  • Facundo Colidio 73' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Villagra 79' yellowcard
  • Pablo Solari 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Paulo Diaz 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Miguel Merentiel 44'
  • goal Miguel Merentiel 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 48'
  • goal Edinson Cavani 62'
  • goal Miguel Merentiel 67'
  • yellowcard Edinson Cavani 70'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Blanco 76'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Figal 90'+6'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 7
Feb 25, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
  • Ignacio Fernandez 20' yellowcard
  • Pablo Solari 49' goal
  • Marcelo Herrera 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Figal 8'
  • yellowcard Cristian Medina 43'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Blanco 45'+1'
  • goal Cristian Medina 70'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
  • Jorman Campuzano 29' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Valentini 30' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Saracchi 65' yellowcard
  • Exequiel Zeballos 87' yellowcard
  • Bruno Valdez 89' yellowcard
  • goal Salomon Rondon 41'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Fernandez 54'
  • yellowcard Enzo Diaz 81'
  • yellowcard Franco Armani 86'
  • goal Enzo Diaz 90'+6'