Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.27% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 23.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.03%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%) , while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.