Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Mar 15, 2026 10.45pm
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate vs Sarmiento - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 9, 2026 12.15am
River Plate 0 - 0 Tucuman
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Gonzalo Montiel

Sarmiento

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 12.30am
Belgrano 0 - 0 Sarmiento
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Junior Marabel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a River Plate win with a probability of 69.04%. A draw has a probability of 21.31% and a win for Sarmiento has a probability of 9.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (15.3%) and 3-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (9.6%) , while for a Sarmiento win it is 0-1 (4.71%).

Result

River Plate 69.04%
Draw 21.31%
Sarmiento 9.68%

Both Teams to Score: 

36.3%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.86%
Under 1.5 32.14%
Over 2.5 42.51%
Under 2.5 57.49%
Over 3.5 21.73%
Under 3.5 78.24%
Over 4.5 13.75%
Under 4.5 86.25%

First Half Winner

River Plate 44.35%
Draw 40.93%
Sarmiento 14.72%

Team To Score First

River Plate 67.25%
No Goal 9.6%
Sarmiento 23.15%

Corners

Over 8 57.62%
Equal 8 11.96%
Under 8 30.42%
Over 9 45.42%
Equal 9 12.2%
Under 9 42.38%
Over 10.5 34.08%
Under 10.5 65.92%

River Plate Goals

Over 1.5 54.4%
Under 1.5 45.6%
Over 2.5 27.29%
Under 2.5 72.71%
Over 3.5 10.96%
Under 3.5 89.04%

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5 37.25%
Under 0.5 62.75%
Over 1.5 9.44%
Under 1.5 90.56%
Over 2.5 1.8%
Under 2.5 98.2%
Over 3.5 0.33%
Under 3.5 99.67%

Score analysis

River Plate 69.04%
Draw 21.31%
Sarmiento 9.67%
River Plate
1-0 @ 17.85%
2-0 @ 15.3%
3-0 @ 9.11%
2-1 @ 8.99%
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 10.91%
Total : 69.04%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.6%
1-1 @ 8.95%
2-2 @ 2.37%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 21.31%
Sarmiento
0-1 @ 4.71%
1-2 @ 2.45%
0-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 9.67%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Oct 12, 2025 11.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Apr 6, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
  • Carlos Villalba 16' yellowcard
  • Carlos Villalba 16' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Insaurralde 44' goal
  • Juan Manuel Insaurralde 44' goal
  • Renzo Orihuela 72' yellowcard
  • Renzo Orihuela 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 14'
  • yellowcard Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 14'
  • goal Miguel Borja 30'
  • goal Miguel Borja 30'
  • yellowcard Kevin Castano 69'
  • yellowcard Kevin Castano 69'
  • yellowcard Facundo Colidio 79'
  • yellowcard Facundo Colidio 79'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Jul 28, 2024 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
  • Franco Mastantuono 87' goal
  • yellowcard Juan Andrada 86'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Mar 20, 2023 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Lucas Beltran 7'
  • goal Agustin Palavecino 74'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Aug 1, 2022 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Milton Casco 27' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Mammana 67' goal
  • yellowcard Emiliano Mendez 25'
  • goal Guido Mainero 31'
  • goal Federico Andueza 45'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Meza 54'
  • yellowcard Lucas Castro 82'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
May 1, 2022 1.30am
0
7
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Harrinson Mancilla 6' yellowcard
  • Julian Chicco 78' yellowcard
  • Guido Mainero 85' yellowcard
  • goal Tomas Pochettino 34'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 35'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 45'
  • goal Enzo Fernandez 52'
  • goal Ezequiel Barco 60'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 63'
  • goal Santiago Simon 70'