Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
River Plate
Mar 15, 2026 10.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Sarmiento
  • Sebastián Driussi 41' goal
  • Joaquín Freitas 46' yellowcard
  • Juan Fernando Quintero 61' yellowcard
  • Ian Subiabre 71' goal
  • Kevin Castaño 72' yellowcard
  • Paulo Díaz 81' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Salas 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Churín 60'
  • yellowcard Juan Manuel Cabrera 67'
  • yellowcard Santiago Salle 67'
  • yellowcard Yair Arismendi 67'
  • yellowcard Jonatan Gómez 88'

River Plate vs Sarmiento - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 12.30am
Huracan 1 - 2 River Plate
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Sebastián Driussi

Sarmiento

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 11, 2026 1.00am
Sarmiento 0 - 0 Racing
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Junior Marabel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 69.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.24% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 9.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.53%) and 3-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.77%) , while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood.

Result

River Plate 69.38% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 21.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Sarmiento 9.4%

Both Teams to Score: 

35.7% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 32.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 42.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 57.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 21.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 78.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 13.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.3% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

River Plate 44.35%
Draw 40.93%
Sarmiento 14.72%

Team To Score First

River Plate 67.12% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 9.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Sarmiento 23.11% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.63%
Equal 8 11.92%
Under 8 30.45%
Over 9 45.48%
Equal 9 12.15%
Under 9 42.37%
Over 10.5 34.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 65.84% ▲ (+0.02)

River Plate Goals

Over 1.5 54.4%
Under 1.5 45.6%
Over 2.5 27.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 72.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 10.96%
Under 3.5 89.04%

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5 36.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 63.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 9.15%
Under 1.5 90.85%
Over 2.5 1.76%
Under 2.5 98.24%
Over 3.5 0.33%
Under 3.5 99.67%

Score analysis

River Plate 69.38%
Draw 21.25%
Sarmiento 9.39%
River Plate
1-0 @ 18.12%
2-0 @ 15.53%
3-0 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.09%
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 10.91%
Total : 69.38%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.77% ▲ (+0.03)
1-1 @ 8.79%
2-2 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 21.25%
Sarmiento
0-1 @ 4.61%
1-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 9.39%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
River Plate
Oct 12, 2025 11.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Sarmiento
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Sarmiento
Apr 6, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
River Plate
  • Carlos Villalba 16' yellowcard
  • Carlos Villalba 16' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Insaurralde 44' goal
  • Juan Manuel Insaurralde 44' goal
  • Renzo Orihuela 72' yellowcard
  • Renzo Orihuela 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 14'
  • yellowcard Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 14'
  • goal Miguel Borja 30'
  • goal Miguel Borja 30'
  • yellowcard Kevin Castano 69'
  • yellowcard Kevin Castano 69'
  • yellowcard Facundo Colidio 79'
  • yellowcard Facundo Colidio 79'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
River Plate
Jul 28, 2024 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Sarmiento
  • Franco Mastantuono 87' goal
  • yellowcard Juan Andrada 86'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Sarmiento
Mar 20, 2023 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
River Plate
  • goal Lucas Beltran 7'
  • goal Agustin Palavecino 74'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
River Plate
Aug 1, 2022 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Sarmiento
  • Milton Casco 27' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Mammana 67' goal
  • yellowcard Emiliano Mendez 25'
  • goal Guido Mainero 31'
  • goal Federico Andueza 45'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Meza 54'
  • yellowcard Lucas Castro 82'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
Sarmiento
May 1, 2022 1.30am
0
7
HT : 0 3
FT
River Plate
  • Harrinson Mancilla 6' yellowcard
  • Julian Chicco 78' yellowcard
  • Guido Mainero 85' yellowcard
  • goal Tomas Pochettino 34'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 35'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 45'
  • goal Enzo Fernandez 52'
  • goal Ezequiel Barco 60'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 63'
  • goal Santiago Simon 70'

Form Data

Huracan 1 - 2 River Plate
River Plate 0 - 0 Tucuman
Independiente Rivadavia 1 - 1 River Plate
River Plate 3 - 1 Banfield
Velez Sarsfield 1 - 0 River Plate
Argentinos Jrs 1 - 0 River Plate
Sarmiento 0 - 0 Racing
Belgrano 0 - 0 Sarmiento
Sarmiento 1 - 0 Estudiantes Río Cuarto
Sarmiento 1 - 3 Union
Estudiantes 1 - 0 Sarmiento
Huracan 1 - 0 Sarmiento