Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 57.32%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 15.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.07%) , while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.