Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 8, 2026 12.30am
Estadio Julio César Villagra

Belgrano vs Sarmiento - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgrano

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 10.15pm
Huracan 3 - 1 Belgrano
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Lautaro Gutiérrez

Sarmiento

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 10.00pm
Sarmiento 1 - 0 Estudiantes Río Cuarto
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Junior Marabel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 57.32%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 15.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.07%) , while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Belgrano 57.32%
Draw 27%
Sarmiento 15.68%

Both Teams to Score: 

38.11% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.46% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 37.54% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 36.03% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 63.97% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 16.66%
Under 3.5 83.34%
Over 4.5 8.92% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 91.08% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Belgrano 34.36%
Draw 48.36%
Sarmiento 17.28%

Team To Score First

Belgrano 58.12%
No Goal 12.07%
Sarmiento 29.81%

Corners

Over 8 49.99% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.98%
Under 8 38.02% (+0.02)
Over 9 38.51% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.49%
Under 9 50% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 28.38% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 71.62% (+0.02)

Belgrano Goals

Over 1.5 43.18% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.82% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 18.19% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 81.81% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.04% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.96% (+0.01)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5 45.27%
Under 0.5 54.73%
Over 1.5 13.05% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 86.95% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 2.56% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 97.44% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.45% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.55% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Belgrano 57.31%
Draw 27.01%
Sarmiento 15.68%
Belgrano
1-0 @ 17.98% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 12.5% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.17% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 6.01% (-0.01)
Total : 57.31%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.07%
1-1 @ 11.65%
2-2 @ 2.93%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 27.01%
Sarmiento
0-1 @ 7.49%
1-2 @ 3.72% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.27%
Other @ 0.42% (+0.02)
Total : 15.68%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Aug 4, 2024 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
  • yellowcard Esteban Rolon 35'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Feb 20, 2024 12.30am
4
1
HT : 6 2
FT Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra
  • Nicolas Meriano 14' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Meriano 14' yellowcard
  • Ulises Sanchez 29' goal
  • Ulises Sanchez 29' goal
  • Juan Barinaga 31' goal
  • Juan Barinaga 31' goal
  • Esteban Rolon 38' yellowcard
  • Esteban Rolon 38' yellowcard
  • Brayan Reyna 40' goal
  • Brayan Reyna 40' goal
  • Facundo Lencioni 71' goal
  • Facundo Lencioni 71' goal
  • Gonzalo Maffini 78' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Maffini 78' yellowcard
  • goal Sergio Quiroga 25'
  • goal Sergio Quiroga 25'
  • yellowcard Manuel Monaco 26'
  • yellowcard Manuel Monaco 26'
  • yellowcard Jose Mauri 38'
  • yellowcard Jose Mauri 38'
  • yellowcard Diego Calcaterra 86'
  • yellowcard Diego Calcaterra 86'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Sep 25, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
  • Lautaro Cerato 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Marin 35'
  • yellowcard Lucas Diarte 90'+2'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Apr 4, 2023 12.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Julio César Villagra