Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 16
Apr 25, 2026 11.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Eva Perón de Junín
  • Nicolás Pasquini 10' goal
  • Julián Contrera 62' yellowcard
  • Manuel García 77' yellowcard
  • Diego Churín 77' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Díaz 84' yellowcard
  • Lucas Matías Suárez Scalarea 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago López 31'
  • yellowcard Tiago Serrago 46'
  • yellowcard Marco Antonio Rivas Rojas 75'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Soto 75'
  • yellowcard Marco Antonio Rivas Rojas 76'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Soto 76'
  • yellowcard 76'
  • yellowcard Manuel Fernández 85'

Sarmiento vs Tigre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarmiento

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 20, 2026 12.30am
Rosario 2 - 1 Sarmiento
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Junior Marabel

Tigre

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 21, 2026 1.45am
Tigre 1 - 1 Huracan
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
David Romero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 38.25%. A draw had a probability of 31.83% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 29.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.75%) and 1-2 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.07%) , while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Sarmiento 29.89% (-0.06)
Draw 31.83% (+0.06)
Tigre 38.25% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.35% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 57.87% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 42.13% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 31% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 69% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 13.35%
Under 3.5 86.65%
Over 4.5 5.85% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 94.15% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Sarmiento 23.12% (+0.02)
Draw 51.35% (-0.01)
Tigre 25.52% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Sarmiento 41.08% (+0.15)
No Goal 15.07% (+0.04)
Tigre 43.85% (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 50.31% (+0.11)
Equal 8 12.44% (+0.02)
Under 8 37.25% (-0.12)
Over 9 38.37% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.94% (+0.03)
Under 9 49.69% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 27.89% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 72.11% (-0.05)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 1.5 21.63% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 78.37% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 5.45% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 94.55% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.2% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.8% (+0.01)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5 63.71% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 36.29% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 28.32% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 71.68% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 9.04% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 90.96% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.22% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.78% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Sarmiento 29.88%
Draw 31.84%
Tigre 38.26%
Sarmiento
1-0 @ 12.93% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.07% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.63%
3-1 @ 1.74%
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.19% (-0.02)
Total : 29.88%
Draw
0-0 @ 15.07% (+0.04)
1-1 @ 13.47% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.1%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 31.84%
Tigre
0-1 @ 14.11% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.75%
1-2 @ 7.56% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.21% (-0.02)
Total : 38.26%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Aug 18, 2024 9.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
  • Joaquin Gho 65' goal
  • yellowcard Nahuel Banegas 40'
  • yellowcard Martin Ortega 74'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 1
Jan 25, 2024 10.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna
  • yellowcard Fernando Godoy 17'
  • yellowcard Alfredo Amarilla 26'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Diaz 32'
  • yellowcard Diego Calcaterra 77'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 1
Aug 20, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Regatas San Nicolas
  • Franco Paredes 23' goal
  • Gonzalo Bettini 44' yellowcard
  • Jose Devecchi 50' yellowcard
  • Sergio Quiroga 54' yellowcard
  • Diego Calcaterra 63' goal
  • Fernando Martinez Rojas 66' yellowcard
  • Diego Calcaterra 70' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Insaurralde 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Menossi 60'
  • yellowcard Jose Paradela 70'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Apr 14, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio José Dellagiovanna
  • Blas Armoa 36' goal
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 23
Oct 4, 2022 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Javier Toledo 16' goal
  • Luciano Gondou 85' goal
  • goal Blas Armoa 40'
  • goal Facundo Colidio 44'