Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 33.76%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 32.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.71%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Tigre win was 1-0 (14.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.