Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 29.17% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 19.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.36%) , while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.