Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 41.24%. A draw had a probability of 30.88% and a win for America de Cali had a probability of 27.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (7.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.87%) , while for a America de Cali win it was 0-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.