Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 3.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero
  • Daniel Valencia 44' goal
  • Yeison Guzmán 55' yellowcard
  • Darwin Machís 75' yellowcard
  • José Cavadia 84' yellowcard
  • Adrián Ramos 84' yellowcard
  • Dylan Borrero 84' yellowcard
  • Brayan Correa 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Brayan Correa 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Ariel Muñoz 31'
  • yellowcard Stefano Fernández 58'
  • yellowcard S. Quiroga 74'
  • yellowcard Valentín Robaldo 74'
  • yellowcard Jorge del Castillo 86'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Larios 87'
  • yellowcard Jorge del Castillo 87'

America de Cali vs Alianza Atletico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

America de Cali

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 1.30am
Macara 1 - 1 America

Alianza Atletico

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 3.00am
Alianza Atletico 1 - 1 Tigre

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America de Cali win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.71% and a win for Alianza Atletico had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a America de Cali win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%) , while for a Alianza Atletico win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

America de Cali 53.58%
Draw 24.71% (+0.04)
Alianza Atletico 21.74% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.45% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.97% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 29.03% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 45.21%
Under 2.5 54.79%
Over 3.5 24.02% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 75.98% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 13.5% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 86.5% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

America de Cali 41.59%
Draw 41.06%
Alianza Atletico 17.35%

Team To Score First

America de Cali 65.5% (-0.02)
No Goal 8.12% (+0.02)
Alianza Atletico 26.38% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 40.05% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 48.35% (+0.03)
Over 9 29.76% (-0.02)
Equal 9 10.29%
Under 9 59.95% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 21.33% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 78.67% (+0.02)

America de Cali Goals

Over 1.5 46.03% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 53.97% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 20.56% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 79.44% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.49% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.51% (+0.04)

Alianza Atletico Goals

Over 0.5 54.86% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 45.14% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 21.45%
Under 1.5 78.55%
Over 2.5 6.52% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 93.48% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.73% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.27% (+0.02)

Score analysis

America de Cali 53.58%
Draw 24.69%
Alianza Atletico 21.75%
America de Cali
1-0 @ 13.63% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 10.53% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.52% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.41% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.47% (-0.03)
Total : 53.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.12% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.02% (-0.01)
Total : 24.69%
Alianza Atletico
0-1 @ 7.3% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.21% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.38% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.05% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.71% (-0.02)
Total : 21.75%