Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America de Cali win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.71% and a win for Alianza Atletico had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a America de Cali win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%) , while for a Alianza Atletico win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.