Copa Sudamericana
Mar 4, 2026 2.00am
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Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Atletico

All competitions

Deportivo Garcilaso

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alianza Atletico win with a probability of 46.9%. A draw has a probability of 28.11% and a win for Deportivo Garcilaso has a probability of 24.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alianza Atletico win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.89%) , while for a Deportivo Garcilaso win it is 0-1 (9.53%).

Result

Alianza Atletico 46.9% (+0.93)
Draw 28.11% (-0.25)
Deportivo Garcilaso 24.99% (-0.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.03% (+0.78)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.61% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 34.39% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 39.27% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 60.73% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 19.5% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 80.5% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 10.12% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 89.88% (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Alianza Atletico 33.74% (+0.54)
Draw 46.18% (-1.11)
Deportivo Garcilaso 20.07% (+0.56)

Team To Score First

Alianza Atletico 55.06% (+1.11)
No Goal 10.66% (-0.21)
Deportivo Garcilaso 34.28% (-0.90)

Corners

Over 8 44.41% (-1.52)
Equal 8 11.94%
Under 8 43.65% (+1.51)
Over 9 33.45% (-1.38)
Equal 9 10.96% (-0.13)
Under 9 55.59% (+1.52)
Over 10.5 24.18% (-1.15)
Under 10.5 75.82% (+1.15)

Alianza Atletico Goals

Over 1.5 38.44% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 61.56% (-0.35)
Over 2.5 15.4% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 84.6% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 5.09% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 94.91% (-0.14)

Deportivo Garcilaso Goals

Over 0.5 56.57% (-0.51)
Under 0.5 43.43% (+0.51)
Over 1.5 21.79% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 78.21% (+0.44)
Over 2.5 6.26% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 93.74% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 1.58% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 98.42% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Alianza Atletico 46.88%
Draw 28.11%
Deportivo Garcilaso 25%
Alianza Atletico
1-0 @ 14.19% (+0.29)
2-0 @ 9.34% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 8.57% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.2% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 3.79% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.76% (+0.06)
Other @ 5.03% (+0.15)
Total : 46.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.89% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 10.66% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.18)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.02)
Total : 28.11%
Deportivo Garcilaso
0-1 @ 9.53% (-0.38)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.12% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.29% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.52% (-0.04)
Total : 25%