Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juan Pablo II College win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Alianza Atletico had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juan Pablo II College win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Alianza Atletico win was 0-1 (11.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.