Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 29.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (11.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.