Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 9, 2026 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio 15 de Abril
  • Enzo Copetti 63' yellowcard
  • Carlos Quintana 82' yellowcard
  • Julián Fernández 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronald Briones 57'
  • yellowcard Darwin Guagua 57'
  • yellowcard Ronald Briones 58'
  • yellowcard Darwin Guagua 58'
  • yellowcard Aron Rodríguez 58'
  • yellowcard Andy Velasco 73'
  • yellowcard Juan Riquelme Angulo Caiced 87'

Rosario Central vs Independiente del Valle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosario Central

All competitions

Independiente del Valle

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 (9.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Rosario Central 43.01% (-0.07)
Draw 27.18%
Independiente del Valle 29.78% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.45% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.36% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 30.64% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 43.4% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 56.6% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 22.02% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 77.98% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 11.73% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.27% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Rosario Central 27.43%
Draw 44.48%
Independiente del Valle 28.08%

Team To Score First

Rosario Central 45.79% (+0.01)
No Goal 9.26% (-0.02)
Independiente del Valle 44.95% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 44.49% (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.5% (+0.01)
Under 8 43.01% (+0.01)
Over 9 33.03% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.46% (+0.02)
Under 9 55.51% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 23.4% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 76.6% (+0.02)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 1.5 37.88% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 62.12% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 15.27% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 84.73% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 5.12% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.88% (+0.01)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 61.77% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 38.23% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 27.27% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 72.73% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 9.19% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.81% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.6%
Under 3.5 97.4%

Score analysis

Rosario Central 43.01%
Draw 27.19%
Independiente del Valle 29.79%
Rosario Central
1-0 @ 11.84% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 1.85%
Other @ 5% (-0.01)
Total : 43.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.26% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 27.19%
Independiente del Valle
0-1 @ 9.53%
1-2 @ 6.93% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.99%
1-3 @ 2.35% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.96% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.55% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.79%