Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 9, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio 15 de Abril

Rosario Central vs Independiente del Valle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosario Central

All competitions

Independiente del Valle

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Independiente del Valle has a probability of 29.74% and a draw has a probability of 27.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win is 0-1 (9.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.78%).

Result

Rosario Central 43.07% (+2.08)
Draw 27.18%
Independiente del Valle 29.74% (-2.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.42% (-0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.35% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 30.65% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 43.37% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 56.63% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 21.98% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 78.02% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 11.72% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 88.28% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Rosario Central 27.43% (+1.15)
Draw 44.48% (-0.09)
Independiente del Valle 28.08% (-1.08)

Team To Score First

Rosario Central 45.78% (+1.50)
No Goal 9.28% (+0.01)
Independiente del Valle 44.94% (-1.52)

Corners

Over 8 44.5% (+1.12)
Equal 8 12.49% (+0.16)
Under 8 43% (-1.28)
Over 9 33.05% (+0.90)
Equal 9 11.45% (+0.23)
Under 9 55.5% (-1.12)
Over 10.5 23.42% (+0.65)
Under 10.5 76.58% (-0.65)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 1.5 37.9% (+1.58)
Under 1.5 62.1% (-1.58)
Over 2.5 15.29% (+0.87)
Under 2.5 84.71% (-0.88)
Over 3.5 5.13% (+0.37)
Under 3.5 94.87% (-0.36)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 61.71% (-1.68)
Under 0.5 38.29% (+1.68)
Over 1.5 27.19% (-1.54)
Under 1.5 72.81% (+1.55)
Over 2.5 9.14% (-0.83)
Under 2.5 90.86% (+0.82)
Over 3.5 2.6% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 97.4% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Rosario Central 43.08%
Draw 27.19%
Independiente del Valle 29.74%
Rosario Central
1-0 @ 11.85% (+0.50)
2-1 @ 8.57% (+0.22)
2-0 @ 8.21% (+0.55)
3-0 @ 3.95% (+0.33)
3-1 @ 3.64% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 1.85% (+0.06)
Other @ 5.01% (+0.34)
Total : 43.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.28% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.02)
Total : 27.19%
Independiente del Valle
0-1 @ 9.53% (-0.47)
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.35)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.42)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.21)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.33)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.48% (-0.27)
Total : 29.74%