Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 29, 2026 1.00am
Estadio Olímpico de la UCV

UCV vs Rosario Central - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

UCV

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 3.00am
Independiente 3 - 1 UCV

Rosario Central

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 15, 2026 11.00pm
Libertad 0 - 1 Rosario

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rosario Central win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for UCV has a probability of 31.7% and a draw has a probability of 28.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest UCV win is 1-0 (11.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.56%).

Result

UCV 31.7% (-0.59)
Draw 28.92% (-0.34)
Rosario Central 39.41% (+0.95)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.57% (+0.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.56% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 36.44% (-0.54)
Over 2.5 36.42% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 63.58% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 17.37% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 82.63% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 8.54% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 91.46% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

UCV 25.69% (-1.06)
Draw 47.44% (+0.19)
Rosario Central 26.87% (+0.88)

Team To Score First

UCV 42.07% (+0.08)
No Goal 11.5% (-0.47)
Rosario Central 46.43% (+0.39)

Corners

Over 8 39.95% (-1.24)
Equal 8 12.47% (-0.01)
Under 8 47.58% (+1.25)
Over 9 28.94% (-1.10)
Equal 9 11.02% (-0.13)
Under 9 60.04% (+1.23)
Over 10.5 20% (-0.90)
Under 10.5 80% (+0.91)

UCV Goals

Over 1.5 25.45% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 74.55% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 7.87% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 92.13% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 1.99% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 98.01% (+0.08)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5 67.03% (+0.97)
Under 0.5 32.97% (-0.97)
Over 1.5 31.59% (+0.77)
Under 1.5 68.41% (-0.78)
Over 2.5 10.86% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 89.14% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 3.11% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 96.89% (-0.16)

Score analysis

UCV 31.69%
Draw 28.93%
Rosario Central 39.41%
UCV
1-0 @ 11.81% (-0.25)
2-1 @ 6.43% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 5.87% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.29% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.84% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.47% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.98% (-0.07)
Total : 31.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.56% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 11.5% (-0.47)
2-2 @ 3.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.93%
Rosario Central
0-1 @ 13.16% (+0.19)
1-2 @ 7.96% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 7.72% (+0.26)
1-3 @ 2.96% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.81% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.7% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.1% (+0.15)
Total : 39.41%