Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 29, 2026 1.00am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
  • Samuel Sosa 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Yeiber Murillo 84' yellowcard
  • Vicente Rodríguez 84' yellowcard
  • goal Ignacio Ovando 35'
  • yellowcard Pol Fernández 46'
  • yellowcard Ángel Di María 53'
  • yellowcard Enzo Giménez 65'
  • yellowcard Federico Navarro 80'
  • yellowcard Enzo Copetti 80'
  • yellowcard Carlos Quintana 87'
  • goal Enzo Copetti 90'+3'

UCV vs Rosario Central - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

UCV

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 3.00am
Independiente 3 - 1 UCV

Rosario Central

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 15, 2026 11.00pm
Libertad 0 - 1 Rosario

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for UCV had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest UCV win was 1-0 (11.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

UCV 31.67% (-0.03)
Draw 28.87% (-0.06)
Rosario Central 39.46% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.54% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.58% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 36.42% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 36.41% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 63.55% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 17.36% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 82.64% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 8.55% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 91.45% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

UCV 25.7% (+0.01)
Draw 47.46% (+0.03)
Rosario Central 26.84% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

UCV 42.04% (-0.04)
No Goal 11.51% (+0.01)
Rosario Central 46.45% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 39.76% (-0.20)
Equal 8 12.44% (-0.04)
Under 8 47.81% (+0.24)
Over 9 28.78% (-0.17)
Equal 9 10.97% (-0.05)
Under 9 60.24% (+0.21)
Over 10.5 19.89% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 80.11% (+0.11)

UCV Goals

Over 1.5 25.41% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 74.59% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 7.85% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 92.15% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 1.99%
Under 3.5 98.01%

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5 67.03%
Under 0.5 32.97%
Over 1.5 31.64% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 68.36% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.9% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 89.1% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.13% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.87% (-0.02)

Score analysis

UCV 31.68%
Draw 28.88%
Rosario Central 39.48%
UCV
1-0 @ 11.81%
2-1 @ 6.42% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 2.29%
3-0 @ 1.84%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 31.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.54% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 11.51% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.88%
Rosario Central
0-1 @ 13.14% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.98% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.73% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.98% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.12% (+0.03)
Total : 39.48%