Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for UCV had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest UCV win was 1-0 (10.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.