Copa Libertadores
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-
Miguel Jacquet
40'
-
Oscar Cardozo
45'+5'
-
Ivan Ramirez
63'
-
Oscar Cardozo
82'
-
Jose Guerrero
28'
-
Erick Castillo
42'
-
Renzo Garces
45'+3'
-
Ricardo Lagos
81'
Club Libertad vs Alianza Lima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result
Club Libertad
40.81%
▲
(+2.27)
Draw
27.36%
▲
(+0.11)
Alianza Lima
31.84%
▼
(-2.37)
Both Teams to Score:
49.06%
▼
(-0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.63%
▼
(-0.84)
Under 2.5
56.37%
▲
(+0.84)
Over 3.5
22.61%
▼
(-0.68)
Under 3.5
77.39%
▲
(+0.69)
Over 4.5
9.88%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 4.5
90.12%
▲
(+0.42)
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5
72.87%
▲
(+0.88)
Under 0.5
27.13%
▼
(-0.88)
Over 1.5
37.48%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 1.5
62.52%
▼
(-1.13)
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5
67.32%
▼
(-2.03)
Under 0.5
32.68%
▲
(+2.03)
Over 1.5
30.78%
▼
(-2.33)
Under 1.5
69.22%
▲
(+2.33)
Score analysis
Club Libertad
40.8%
Draw
27.35%
Alianza Lima
31.84%
Club Libertad
1-0
@
11.56%
▲
(+0.65)
2-1 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.59)
3-1 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.19)
3-0 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.33)
3-2 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-92.83)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.8%
2-1 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.59)
3-1 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.19)
3-0 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.33)
3-2 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-92.83)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.8%
Draw
1-1
@
12.93%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.87% ▲ (+0.29)
2-2 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.35%
0-0 @ 8.87% ▲ (+0.29)
2-2 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.35%
Alianza Lima
0-1
@
9.92%
▼
(-0.23)
1-2 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.41)
0-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.46)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.32)
0-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.30)
2-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.84%
1-2 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.41)
0-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.46)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.32)
0-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.30)
2-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.84%
Head to Head
Copa Libertadores
-
Guillermo Enrique
17'
-
Guillermo Enrique
17'
-
Renzo Garces
68'
-
Renzo Garces
68'
-
Kevin Quevedo
78'
-
Kevin Quevedo
78'
-
Carlos Zambrano
81'
-
Carlos Zambrano
81'
-
Guillermo Enrique
90'+6'
-
Guillermo Enrique
90'+6'
-
Lorenzo Melgarejo
42'
-
Lorenzo Melgarejo
42'
-
Gustavo Aguilar
52'
-
Gustavo Aguilar
52'
-
Hugo Martinez
68'
-
Hugo Martinez
68'
-
Nestor Gimenez
86'
-
Nestor Gimenez
86'
Copa Libertadores
-
Yordi Vilchez
90'+3'
-
Yordi Vilchez
90'+3'
-
Santiago Garcia
45'+2'
(OG)
-
Santiago Garcia
45'+2'
(OG)
-
Lorenzo Melgarejo
55'
-
Lorenzo Melgarejo
55'
Copa Libertadores
-
Oscar Cardozo
90'+4'
-
Marco Rodriguez
46'
-
Pablo Sabbag
71'