Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.33% and a win for UCV had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.1%) and 2-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%) , while for a UCV win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.