Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 3.00am
Estadio Banco Guayaquil

Independiente del Valle vs UCV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 11.00pm
Rosario 0 - 0 Independiente

UCV

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 11.00pm
UCV 3 - 1 Libertad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw has a probability of 24.79% and a win for UCV has a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.82%) , while for a UCV win it is 0-1 (7.02%).

Result

Independiente del Valle 51.42%
Draw 24.79%
UCV 23.79%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.63%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.31%
Under 1.5 25.69%
Over 2.5 49.6%
Under 2.5 50.4%
Over 3.5 27.19%
Under 3.5 72.78%
Over 4.5 15.42%
Under 4.5 84.58%

First Half Winner

Independiente del Valle 37.78%
Draw 39.85%
UCV 22.36%

Team To Score First

Independiente del Valle 57.94%
No Goal 7.12%
UCV 34.94%

Corners

Over 8 55.14%
Equal 8 10.75%
Under 8 34.11%
Over 9 44.38%
Equal 9 10.76%
Under 9 44.86%
Over 10.5 34.43%
Under 10.5 65.57%

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 1.5 47.35%
Under 1.5 52.65%
Over 2.5 21.79%
Under 2.5 78.21%
Over 3.5 7.85%
Under 3.5 92.15%

UCV Goals

Over 0.5 59.07%
Under 0.5 40.93%
Over 1.5 25.41%
Under 1.5 74.59%
Over 2.5 8.11%
Under 2.5 91.89%
Over 3.5 2.32%
Under 3.5 97.68%

Score analysis

Independiente del Valle 51.43%
Draw 24.79%
UCV 23.78%
Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 11.55%
2-1 @ 9.85%
2-0 @ 9.29%
3-0 @ 5.23%
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-2 @ 2.8%
Other @ 7.74%
Total : 51.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.79%
UCV
0-1 @ 7.02%
1-2 @ 6.11%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 23.78%