Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 3.00am
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Banco Guayaquil
  • Jordy Alcívar 44' goal
  • Carlos González 45'+5' goal
  • Carlos González 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Carlos González 63' goal
  • Youri José Ochoa Sampertegui 73' yellowcard
  • Emerson Pata 73' yellowcard
  • Darwin Guagua 73' yellowcard
  • Jhegson Méndez 73' yellowcard
  • Matías Perelló 73' yellowcard
  • Andy Velasco 80' yellowcard
  • goal Jovanny Bolívar 21'
  • yellowcard Vicente Rodríguez 46'
  • yellowcard Yeiber Murillo 64'
  • yellowcard Yohan Cumana 72'
  • yellowcard R. Ramírez 72'
  • yellowcard Charlis Ortiz 83'

Independiente del Valle vs UCV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 11.00pm
Rosario 0 - 0 Independiente

UCV

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 11.00pm
UCV 3 - 1 Libertad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.33% and a win for UCV had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.1%) and 2-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%) , while for a UCV win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Independiente del Valle 55.79% (+0.04)
Draw 23.33%
UCV 20.88%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.44% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.56% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 24.44% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 51.45% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 48.55% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 28.83% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 71.17% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 17.07% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 82.93% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Independiente del Valle 39.66% (+0.01)
Draw 39.02%
UCV 21.32% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Independiente del Valle 61.35% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.6%
UCV 32.05% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.83% (+0.33)
Equal 8 10.95%
Under 8 31.22% (-0.33)
Over 9 46.68% (+0.30)
Equal 9 11.15% (+0.02)
Under 9 42.17% (-0.33)
Over 10.5 36.2% (+0.27)
Under 10.5 63.8% (-0.27)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 1.5 51.28% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 48.72% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 25.1% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 74.9% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 9.82% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 90.18% (-0.08)

UCV Goals

Over 0.5 56.07% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 43.93% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 23.24% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 76.76% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 7.18% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 92.82% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 2.05% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.95% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Independiente del Valle 55.78%
Draw 23.34%
UCV 20.9%
Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 10.1% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.99% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 6.02% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.03)
Other @ 9.71% (+0.08)
Total : 55.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.6%
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.01)
Total : 23.34%
UCV
0-1 @ 6.23% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.5% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.03%
1-3 @ 1.73% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.47%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.94% (+0.04)
Total : 20.9%