Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 15
Apr 20, 2026 12.30am
Estadio 15 de Abril

Rosario Central vs Sarmiento - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosario Central

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 9.30pm
Huracan 3 - 1 Rosario
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Angel di Maria

Sarmiento

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 13, 2026 8.30pm
Sarmiento 1 - 2 Gimnasia
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Junior Marabel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rosario Central win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw has a probability of 23.12% and a win for Sarmiento has a probability of 13.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (14.02%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.7%) , while for a Sarmiento win it is 0-1 (6.08%).

Result

Rosario Central 63.2% (+1.86)
Draw 23.12% (-1.52)
Sarmiento 13.68% (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.18% (+0.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.04% (+1.70)
Under 1.5 32.96% (-1.69)
Over 2.5 40.35% (+1.81)
Under 2.5 59.65% (-1.81)
Over 3.5 19.33% (+1.03)
Under 3.5 80.67% (-1.04)
Over 4.5 11.18% (+0.84)
Under 4.5 88.82% (-0.85)

First Half Winner

Rosario Central 44.14% (+5.78)
Draw 44.06% (-1.77)
Sarmiento 11.79% (-4.02)

Team To Score First

Rosario Central 69.19% (+5.29)
No Goal 9.54% (-0.88)
Sarmiento 21.27% (-4.43)

Corners

Over 8 52.34% (+1.38)
Equal 8 12.45% (+0.30)
Under 8 35.21% (-1.68)
Over 9 40.18% (+0.96)
Equal 9 12.17% (+0.43)
Under 9 47.66% (-1.38)
Over 10.5 29.32% (+0.50)
Under 10.5 70.68% (-0.49)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 1.5 49.3% (+2.13)
Under 1.5 50.7% (-2.13)
Over 2.5 22.33% (+1.46)
Under 2.5 77.67% (-1.46)
Over 3.5 8.14% (+0.67)
Under 3.5 91.86% (-0.66)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5 43.64% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 56.36% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 12.38% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 87.62% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 2.31% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 97.69% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.39% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 99.61% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Rosario Central 63.2%
Draw 23.13%
Sarmiento 13.68%
Rosario Central
1-0 @ 17.35% (-0.44)
2-0 @ 14.02% (+0.43)
2-1 @ 9.72% (+0.33)
3-0 @ 7.33% (+0.45)
3-1 @ 4.76% (+0.23)
3-2 @ 1.89% (+0.21)
Other @ 8.13% (+0.67)
Total : 63.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.48)
0-0 @ 9.54% (-0.88)
2-2 @ 2.67% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.13%
Sarmiento
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.38)
1-2 @ 3.55% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.96% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.38% (+0.04)
Total : 13.68%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Aug 30, 2025 11.15pm
0
0
Suspnd.
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 7
Feb 23, 2025 12.45am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio El Fortin de Luduena
  • Agustin Sandez 6' goal
  • Agustin Sandez 6' goal
  • Enzo Copetti 83' yellowcard
  • Enzo Copetti 83' yellowcard
  • Agustin Sandez 88' yellowcard
  • Agustin Sandez 88' yellowcard
  • Victor Malcorra 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Victor Malcorra 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Renzo Orihuela 48'
  • yellowcard Renzo Orihuela 48'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Diaz 55'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Diaz 55'
  • yellowcard Elian Ezequiel Gimenez 77'
  • yellowcard Elian Ezequiel Gimenez 77'
  • redcard Juan Manuel Insaurralde 90'+6'
  • redcard Juan Manuel Insaurralde 90'+6'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jul 20, 2024 1.00am
4
2
HT : 6 0
FT Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
  • Agustin Modica 22' goal
  • Agustin Modica 22' goal
  • Agustin Modica 36' goal
  • Agustin Modica 36' goal
  • Alan Rodriguez 38' goal
  • Alan Rodriguez 38' goal
  • Lautaro Giaccone 79' goal
  • Lautaro Giaccone 79' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Acosta 36'
  • yellowcard Lucas Acosta 36'
  • yellowcard Matias Gabriel Rosales 45'
  • yellowcard Matias Gabriel Rosales 45'
  • goal Emiliano Mendez 46'
  • goal Emiliano Mendez 46'
  • goal Joaquin Gho 83'
  • goal Joaquin Gho 83'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Gho 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Gho 90'+3'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Mar 3, 2023 11.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Javier Toledo 70' goal
  • Lisandro Lopez 79' goal
  • Lucas Melano 83' goal
  • Lisandro Lopez 88' goal
  • goal Gino Infantino 7'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 7
Jul 9, 2022 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Facundo Buonanotte 77' goal
  • redcard Franco Quinteros 30'
  • yellowcard Sergio Quiroga 61'
  • yellowcard Gaston Sauro 85'
Copa Diego Maradona
Aug 6, 2021 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gabriel Graciani 22' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Graciani 57' goal
  • Federico Bravo 64' yellowcard
  • Gervasio Nunez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard F. Torrent 64'
  • yellowcard Gino Infantino 79'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Garay 86'