Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.14% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 13.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.05%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%) , while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.