Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 35.35%. A win for Banfield had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Banfield win was 1-0 (11.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.