Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Mâs Monumental
  • Aníbal Moreno 18' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Driussi 46' yellowcard
  • Tomás Galván 46' yellowcard
  • Kendry Páez 51' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Driussi 66' goal
  • Marcos Acuña 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yohandry Orozco 72'
  • yellowcard Loureins Martínez 72'
  • yellowcard Edson Tortolero 72'
  • yellowcard Dimas Meza 88'

River Plate vs Carabobo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 1.30am
Blooming 1 - 1 River Plate

Carabobo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 1.30am
Carabobo 1 - 0 Bragantino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.96% and a win for Carabobo had a probability of 19.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%) , while for a Carabobo win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood.

Result

River Plate 55.94% (+0.02)
Draw 24.96%
Carabobo 19.11% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.34% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.79% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 29.21% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 44.98% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 55.02% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 23.32% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 76.68% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.22% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 86.78% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

River Plate 36.8% (+0.05)
Draw 41.78% (-0.02)
Carabobo 21.42% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

River Plate 57.91% (+0.03)
No Goal 8.57% (-0.03)
Carabobo 33.52%

Corners

Over 8 56.87% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.6% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.53% (+0.02)
Over 9 45.14% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.73% (+0.01)
Under 9 43.13% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 34.25% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 65.75% (+0.05)

River Plate Goals

Over 1.5 47.94% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 52.06% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 21.8% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 78.2% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 8.09% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.91% (-0.02)

Carabobo Goals

Over 0.5 52.28% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 47.72% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 19.27% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 80.73% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 5.29% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 94.71% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.14%
Under 3.5 98.86%

Score analysis

River Plate 55.93%
Draw 24.95%
Carabobo 19.12%
River Plate
1-0 @ 13.9%
2-0 @ 11.3% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.72% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.95% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 2.18% (+0.02)
Other @ 8% (+0.01)
Total : 55.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.57% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.92% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 24.95%
Carabobo
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.05% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 19.12%