Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 26.91% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%) , while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.