Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 65.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.89% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 13%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.98%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%) , while for a Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.