Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.12% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%) , while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.