Copa do Brasil
May 15, 2026 1.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
  • Erick 7' goal
  • Luan Cândido 62' goal
  • Diego Tarzia 74' yellowcard
  • Renato Kayzer 75' yellowcard
  • Marinho  75' yellowcard
  • Caíque Gonçalves 89' yellowcard
  • Edenilson 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Everton 63'
  • yellowcard Pedro 63'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Varela 71'
  • yellowcard Wallace Yan 77'

Vitoria vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Apr 23, 2026 1.30am
Flamengo 2 - 1 Vitoria

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Apr 23, 2026 1.30am
Flamengo 2 - 1 Vitoria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 1-0 (10.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Vitoria 30.73% (-0.24)
Draw 29.65% (-0.16)
Flamengo 39.66% (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.15% (-1.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.71% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 33.29% (+0.30)
Over 2.5 39.99% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 60.01% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 19.7% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 80.3% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 10.11% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 89.89% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Vitoria 24.05% (+0.31)
Draw 46.5% (-0.22)
Flamengo 29.45% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Vitoria 40.66% (-0.17)
No Goal 10.56% (+0.17)
Flamengo 48.78% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.48% (-1.05)
Equal 8 11.66% (+0.10)
Under 8 31.85% (+0.93)
Over 9 44.72% (-1.06)
Equal 9 11.76% (+0.01)
Under 9 43.52% (+1.05)
Over 10.5 33.84% (-0.98)
Under 10.5 66.16% (+0.98)

Vitoria Goals

Over 1.5 27.21% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 72.79% (+0.43)
Over 2.5 8.19% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 91.81% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 2.07% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 97.93% (+0.11)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 69.44% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 30.56% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 33.69% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 66.31% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 12.7% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 87.3% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.81% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 96.19% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Vitoria 30.73%
Draw 29.66%
Flamengo 39.67%
Vitoria
1-0 @ 10.6% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.12% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 5.46% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.18% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.06% (-0.09)
Total : 30.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.26% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 10.56% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.02)
Total : 29.66%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 12.19% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 8.43% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.99% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.8% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.8% (+0.05)
Total : 39.67%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Apr 23, 2026 1.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Evertton Araújo 10' goal
  • Saúl Ñíguez  46' yellowcard
  • Giorgian de Arrascaeta 46' yellowcard
  • Pedro 52' goal
  • Alex Sandro 71' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Plata 72' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lino 80' yellowcard
  • goal Erick 11'
  • yellowcard Marinho  57'
  • yellowcard Diego Tarzia 80'
  • yellowcard Fabri 80'
  • yellowcard Fabri 81'
  • yellowcard Edenilson 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Zé Breno 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Edenilson 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Feb 11, 2026 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
  • Matheuzinho 51' goal
  • Renato Kayzer 64' yellowcard
  • Aitor Cantalapiedra 67' yellowcard
  • Marinho 67' yellowcard
  • Fabricio 78' yellowcard
  • Fabrício do Rosário dos Santos 78' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Martinez 79' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Martínez 79' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodrigues 89' yellowcard
  • goal Erick Pulgar 15'
  • goal Everton 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Jorge Carrascal 56'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 56'
  • yellowcard Samuel Lino 65'
  • yellowcard Nicolas de la Cruz 65'
  • yellowcard Nicolás de la Cruz 65'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 87'
Brasileiro
Aug 26, 2025 1.00am
8
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Apr 6, 2025 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Wellington Rato 77' goal
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 62'
  • goal Bruno Henrique 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Gabriel Barbosa 59' goal
  • Ayrton Lucas 80' goal
  • goal Alerrandro 16'
  • yellowcard Edu 53'
  • yellowcard Carlos Eduardo 56'
  • goal Janderson 74'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Jul 25, 2024 12.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Governador Roberto Santos
  • Lucas Esteves 58' yellowcard
  • Lucas Esteves 58' yellowcard
  • Everaldo 75' goal
  • Everaldo 75' goal
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 39'
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 39'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araujo 79'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araujo 79'
  • goal Carlos Moises de Lima 90'
  • goal Carlos Moises de Lima 90'