Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ciudad de Caseros
  • Guido Carrillo 55' goal
  • Edwuin Cetré 74' yellowcard
  • Alexis Castro 86' yellowcard
  • Adolfo Gaich 86' yellowcard
  • Adolfo Gaich 87' yellowcard
  • Brian Aguirre 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorge Carrascal 21'
  • goal Luiz Araújo 33'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 70'
  • yellowcard Pedro 81'
  • yellowcard Saúl Ñíguez  81'

Estudiantes vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 11.00pm
Estudiantes 2 - 1 Garcilaso

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 17, 2026 1.30am
Flamengo 4 - 1 Medellin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 1-0 (9.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result

Estudiantes 31.21% (+0.20)
Draw 27.32% (+0.06)
Flamengo 41.5% (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.89% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.96% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 29.04% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 45.72% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 54.28% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 24.14% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 75.86% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 13% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 87% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Estudiantes 25.55%
Draw 46.75%
Flamengo 27.69%

Team To Score First

Estudiantes 46.48% (-0.04)
No Goal 8.74% (+0.07)
Flamengo 44.78% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 52.77%
Equal 8 12.28%
Under 8 34.95%
Over 9 40.73%
Equal 9 12.04%
Under 9 47.23%
Over 10.5 29.94%
Under 10.5 70.06%

Estudiantes Goals

Over 1.5 29.97% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 70.03% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.05% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.95% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.77%
Under 3.5 97.23%

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 71.48% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 28.52% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 38.02% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 61.98% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 15.98% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 84.02% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 5.4% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 94.6% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Estudiantes 31.2%
Draw 27.32%
Flamengo 41.51%
Estudiantes
1-0 @ 9.4% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 7.19% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.64% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.55%
3-0 @ 2.14% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 31.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.79% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.74% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 27.32%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 10.93%
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.38% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.26% (-0.07)
Total : 41.51%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Sep 26, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa Libertadores
Sep 19, 2025 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT