Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 35.75%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 29.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 (10.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%).