Copa do Brasil
Apr 23, 2026 11.00pm
Arena MRV

Atletico Mineiro vs Ceara - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Ceara

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 46.66%. A draw has a probability of 27.82% and a win for Ceara has a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.22%) , while for a Ceara win it is 0-1 (8.58%).

Result

Atletico Mineiro 46.66%
Draw 27.82%
Ceara 25.52%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.41%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.53%
Under 1.5 30.47%
Over 2.5 43.98%
Under 2.5 56.02%
Over 3.5 22.73%
Under 3.5 77.27%
Over 4.5 12.26%
Under 4.5 87.74%

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 34.09%
Draw 45.21%
Ceara 20.7%

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 54.77%
No Goal 9.25%
Ceara 35.98%

Corners

Over 8 57.8%
Equal 8 11.67%
Under 8 30.53%
Over 9 45.92%
Equal 9 11.88%
Under 9 42.2%
Over 10.5 34.85%
Under 10.5 65.15%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 40.95%
Under 1.5 59.05%
Over 2.5 17.19%
Under 2.5 82.81%
Over 3.5 5.59%
Under 3.5 94.41%

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5 59.84%
Under 0.5 40.16%
Over 1.5 24.69%
Under 1.5 75.31%
Over 2.5 7.76%
Under 2.5 92.24%
Over 3.5 2.02%
Under 3.5 97.98%

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 46.66%
Draw 27.81%
Ceara 25.53%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 12.64%
2-1 @ 9.22%
2-0 @ 8.53%
3-0 @ 4.28%
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-2 @ 2.4%
Other @ 5.46%
Total : 46.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 9.25%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 27.81%
Ceara
0-1 @ 8.58%
1-2 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.59%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 25.53%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 25, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Jun 1, 2025 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
  • Diego 36' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 44'
  • yellowcard Lyanco 49'
  • goal Rony 78'
  • redcard Lyanco 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Everson 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Oct 9, 2022 10.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jun 15, 2022 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Richard 39' yellowcard
  • Fernando Sobral 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rubens 74'
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 87'
  • yellowcard Calebe 88'
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Oct 9, 2021 8.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Hulk 32' goal
  • Jair 47' yellowcard
  • Hulk 45'+10' goal
  • Diego Costa 87' goal
  • yellowcard Geovane da Silva de Souza 30'
  • yellowcard Messias 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Bruno Pacheco 90'
  • goal Gabriel Lacerda 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Jun 24, 2021 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Vinicius Lima 3' goal
  • Saulo 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Bruno Pacheco 81' yellowcard
  • Wendson 89' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Lacerda 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Guilherme Arana 27'
  • goal Gabriel 72'
  • yellowcard Tche Tche 87'
  • yellowcard Gabriel 89'
  • yellowcard Rever 90'+1'