Copa do Brasil
Apr 23, 2026 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Mateo Cassierra 44' goal
  • Alexsander  61' yellowcard
  • Hulk  61' yellowcard
  • Tomás Cuello 67' yellowcard
  • Alan Minda 67' yellowcard
  • Tomás Cuello 68' yellowcard
  • Renan Lodi 73' goal
  • Gustavo Scarpa 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno 32'
  • yellowcard Fernandinho 54'
  • yellowcard Vina 54'
  • goal Wendel 65'
  • yellowcard Richardson 79'
  • yellowcard Richardson 80'
  • yellowcard Lucas Lima 80'

Atletico Mineiro vs Ceara - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Ceara

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 46.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.22% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 25.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.44%) , while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Mineiro 46.48% (+0.08)
Draw 28.22% (-0.05)
Ceara 25.31% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.92%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.9% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 30.1% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 44.07% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 55.93% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 22.43% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 77.57% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 12.07% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.93% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 33.59% (+0.04)
Draw 45.23% (-0.05)
Ceara 21.18% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 55.27% (-0.04)
No Goal 9.13% (-0.02)
Ceara 35.6% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 55.93% (-0.15)
Equal 8 11.91% (+0.01)
Under 8 32.15% (+0.13)
Over 9 43.97% (-0.17)
Equal 9 11.96%
Under 9 44.07% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 32.98% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 67.02% (+0.15)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 40.96% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 59.04% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 17.03% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 82.97% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.69% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.31% (-0.02)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5 59.87% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 40.13% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 24.89% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 75.11% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 7.79% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 92.21% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 98% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 46.49%
Draw 28.22%
Ceara 25.3%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 12.69% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.33% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.93% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.48% (+0.03)
Total : 46.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.44% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.13% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 28.22%
Ceara
0-1 @ 8.29% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.4% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.79% (-0.02)
Total : 25.3%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 25, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Jun 1, 2025 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
  • Diego 36' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 44'
  • yellowcard Lyanco 49'
  • goal Rony 78'
  • redcard Lyanco 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Everson 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Oct 9, 2022 10.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jun 15, 2022 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Richard 39' yellowcard
  • Fernando Sobral 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rubens 74'
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 87'
  • yellowcard Calebe 88'
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Oct 9, 2021 8.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Hulk 32' goal
  • Jair 47' yellowcard
  • Hulk 45'+10' goal
  • Diego Costa 87' goal
  • yellowcard Geovane da Silva de Souza 30'
  • yellowcard Messias 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Bruno Pacheco 90'
  • goal Gabriel Lacerda 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Jun 24, 2021 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Vinicius Lima 3' goal
  • Saulo 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Bruno Pacheco 81' yellowcard
  • Wendson 89' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Lacerda 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Guilherme Arana 27'
  • goal Gabriel 72'
  • yellowcard Tche Tche 87'
  • yellowcard Gabriel 89'
  • yellowcard Rever 90'+1'