Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Maranhao had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Maranhao win was 1-0 (11.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.