Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Luiz win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 29.69% and a win for Maranhao had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Luiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.82%) , while for a Maranhao win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.