Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.93% and a win for Primavera SP had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%) , while for a Primavera SP win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.