Copa do Brasil
Feb 26, 2026 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
  • Lucas Lima 11' goal
  • Matheusinho 46' yellowcard
  • Wendel 58' yellowcard
  • Richardson 58' yellowcard
  • 58' yellowcard
  • Alex Silva 58' yellowcard
  • Alex Silva 72' yellowcard
  • 72' yellowcard
  • Wendel 88' goal
  • yellowcard Josiel 46'
  • yellowcard Paulo 46'
  • yellowcard Neto 66'
  • yellowcard Kauan Cunha 66'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Tobias 90'+4'
  • goal Gabriel Poveda 90'+9'

Ceara vs Primavera SP - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceara

All competitions

Primavera SP

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.93% and a win for Primavera SP had a probability of 18.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%) , while for a Primavera SP win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Ceara 53.6% (-0.05)
Draw 27.93%
Primavera SP 18.47%

Both Teams to Score: 

39.44% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.39% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 35.61% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 37.11% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 62.89% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 17.39% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 82.61% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 9.65%
Under 4.5 90.35%

First Half Winner

Ceara 35.17%
Draw 46.08%
Primavera SP 18.75%

Team To Score First

Ceara 57.92% (-0.01)
No Goal 11.36% (+0.01)
Primavera SP 30.72%

Corners

Over 8 54.32% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.33%
Under 8 34.35% (+0.01)
Over 9 43.08% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 45.68% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 32.8% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 67.19%

Ceara Goals

Over 1.5 41.47% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 58.53% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 16.69% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 83.31% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.83% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.17% (+0.02)

Primavera SP Goals

Over 0.5 49.06% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 50.94% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 16.25% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 83.75% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 4.16%
Under 2.5 95.84%
Over 3.5 0.93%
Under 3.5 99.07%

Score analysis

Ceara 53.6%
Draw 27.93%
Primavera SP 18.47%
Ceara
1-0 @ 16.79% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 11.69% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.35% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.52% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 5.75% (-0.02)
Total : 53.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 11.36% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 27.93%
Primavera SP
0-1 @ 7.46% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.66%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 18.47%