Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Primavera SP win with a probability of 44.33%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Araguaína had a probability of 27.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Primavera SP win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%) , while for a Araguaína win it was 1-0 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.