Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Sao Bernardo had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Sao Bernardo win was 1-0 (11.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.