Copa do Brasil
Mar 17, 2026 10.30pm
Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco

Sao Bernardo vs Ceara - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Bernardo

All competitions

Ceara

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ceara win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Sao Bernardo has a probability of 34.5% and a draw has a probability of 28.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Sao Bernardo win is 1-0 (11.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.46%).

Result

Sao Bernardo 34.5% (-1.22)
Draw 28.69% (+0.32)
Ceara 36.81% (+0.92)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.15% (-0.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.81% (-0.90)
Under 1.5 34.19% (+0.90)
Over 2.5 38.95% (-1.15)
Under 2.5 61.05% (+1.15)
Over 3.5 19.46% (-1.06)
Under 3.5 80.54% (+1.06)
Over 4.5 9.9% (-0.50)
Under 4.5 90.1% (+0.49)

First Half Winner

Sao Bernardo 28.22% (+0.42)
Draw 45.55% (-0.33)
Ceara 26.23% (-0.10)

Team To Score First

Sao Bernardo 45.37% (+0.03)
No Goal 10.67% (+0.48)
Ceara 43.96% (-0.50)

Corners

Over 8 54.42% (+2.75)
Equal 8 11.54% (+0.01)
Under 8 34.04% (-2.75)
Over 9 42.97% (+2.50)
Equal 9 11.45% (+0.25)
Under 9 45.58% (-2.75)
Over 10.5 32.51% (+2.07)
Under 10.5 67.49% (-2.08)

Sao Bernardo Goals

Over 1.5 29.28% (-1.53)
Under 1.5 70.72% (+1.54)
Over 2.5 9.95% (-0.89)
Under 2.5 90.05% (+0.88)
Over 3.5 2.93% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 97.07% (+0.21)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5 66.23% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 33.77% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 30.91% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 69.09% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 10.71% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 89.29% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.23% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.77% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Sao Bernardo 34.49%
Draw 28.71%
Ceara 36.81%
Sao Bernardo
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.22)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.30)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.22)
Other @ 2.92% (-0.21)
Total : 34.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.46% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 10.67% (+0.48)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.25)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.71%
Ceara
0-1 @ 12.08% (+0.50)
1-2 @ 7.58% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.94% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.49% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.22% (+0.06)
Total : 36.81%