Copa do Brasil
Mar 17, 2026 10.30pm
0
0
ET Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco
  • Rodrigo Andrade 46' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Melo 46' yellowcard
  • Dudu Miraíma 46' yellowcard
  • Lucas 58' yellowcard
  • Romisson 58' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rian 58' yellowcard
  • Pedro Vitor 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Alano 58'
  • yellowcard Lucca 58'
  • yellowcard Fernandinho 67'
  • yellowcard Melk 80'
  • yellowcard Alex Silva 80'

Sao Bernardo vs Ceara - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Bernardo

All competitions

Ceara

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Sao Bernardo had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Sao Bernardo win was 1-0 (11.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Sao Bernardo 34.5% (-1.22)
Draw 28.69% (+0.32)
Ceara 36.81% (+0.92)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.15% (-0.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.81% (-0.90)
Under 1.5 34.19% (+0.90)
Over 2.5 38.95% (-1.15)
Under 2.5 61.05% (+1.15)
Over 3.5 19.46% (-1.06)
Under 3.5 80.54% (+1.06)
Over 4.5 9.9% (-0.50)
Under 4.5 90.1% (+0.49)

First Half Winner

Sao Bernardo 28.22% (+0.42)
Draw 45.55% (-0.33)
Ceara 26.23% (-0.10)

Team To Score First

Sao Bernardo 45.37% (+0.03)
No Goal 10.67% (+0.48)
Ceara 43.96% (-0.50)

Corners

Over 8 54.42% (+2.75)
Equal 8 11.54% (+0.01)
Under 8 34.04% (-2.75)
Over 9 42.97% (+2.50)
Equal 9 11.45% (+0.25)
Under 9 45.58% (-2.75)
Over 10.5 32.51% (+2.07)
Under 10.5 67.49% (-2.08)

Sao Bernardo Goals

Over 1.5 29.28% (-1.53)
Under 1.5 70.72% (+1.54)
Over 2.5 9.95% (-0.89)
Under 2.5 90.05% (+0.88)
Over 3.5 2.93% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 97.07% (+0.21)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5 66.23% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 33.77% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 30.91% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 69.09% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 10.71% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 89.29% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.23% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.77% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Sao Bernardo 34.49%
Draw 28.71%
Ceara 36.81%
Sao Bernardo
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.22)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.30)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.22)
Other @ 2.92% (-0.21)
Total : 34.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.46% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 10.67% (+0.48)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.25)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.71%
Ceara
0-1 @ 12.08% (+0.50)
1-2 @ 7.58% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.94% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.49% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.22% (+0.06)
Total : 36.81%