Copa do Brasil
Mar 10, 2026 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Joinville
  • Gabriel Paris 37' yellowcard
  • Fernando Neto 77' yellowcard
  • Elié Joel 77' yellowcard
  • Alyson 87' yellowcard
  • João Victor da Silva Klock 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dudu Miraíma 58'
  • yellowcard Lucas 58'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rian 58'
  • yellowcard Daniel Amorim 69'
  • yellowcard Pablo Dyego 69'
  • goal Pablo Dyego 73'
  • yellowcard Romisson 83'

Joinville vs Sao Bernardo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Joinville

All competitions

Sao Bernardo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Joinville win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Sao Bernardo had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 30.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Joinville win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Sao Bernardo win was 0-1 (12.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Joinville 36.3% (+0.03)
Draw 30.94%
Sao Bernardo 32.75% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.62%

Goals

Over 1.5 60.98% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 39.02% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 34.47% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 65.53% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 15.88%
Under 3.5 84.12%
Over 4.5 7.57% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 92.43% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Joinville 28.26% (-0.07)
Draw 47.13% (+0.04)
Sao Bernardo 24.62% (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Joinville 43.39% (+0.03)
No Goal 13.1% (+0.01)
Sao Bernardo 43.51% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 54.13% (+0.17)
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 34.26% (-0.18)
Over 9 42.64% (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.49% (+0.02)
Under 9 45.87% (-0.17)
Over 10.5 32.17% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 67.83% (-0.11)

Joinville Goals

Over 1.5 28.39% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 71.61% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.25% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.75% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.56%
Under 3.5 97.44%

Sao Bernardo Goals

Over 0.5 61.63% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 38.37% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 25.63% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 74.37% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 8% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.03%
Under 3.5 97.97%

Score analysis

Joinville 36.3%
Draw 30.94%
Sao Bernardo 32.76%
Joinville
1-0 @ 13.37% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.96% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.54% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.67%
0-0 @ 13.1% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 30.94%
Sao Bernardo
0-1 @ 12.55%
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.88% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 32.76%