Copa do Brasil
Mar 11, 2026 12.00am

Joinville vs Sao Bernardo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Joinville

All competitions

Sao Bernardo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Joinville win with a probability of 36.27%. A win for Sao Bernardo has a probability of 32.79% and a draw has a probability of 30.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Joinville win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Sao Bernardo win is 0-1 (12.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.67%).

Result

Joinville 36.27% (-0.05)
Draw 30.94%
Sao Bernardo 32.79% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.62%

Goals

Over 1.5 61.02% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 38.98% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 34.55% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 65.45% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 15.88% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 84.12% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 7.55% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 92.45% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Joinville 28.33%
Draw 47.09%
Sao Bernardo 24.58%

Team To Score First

Joinville 43.37%
No Goal 13.09%
Sao Bernardo 43.54%

Corners

Over 8 53.97% (-0.06)
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 34.43% (+0.05)
Over 9 42.5% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.47% (-0.01)
Under 9 46.03% (+0.06)
Over 10.5 32.06% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 67.94% (+0.02)

Joinville Goals

Over 1.5 28.4%
Under 1.5 71.6%
Over 2.5 9.26% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.74% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.56% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.44% (+0.01)

Sao Bernardo Goals

Over 0.5 61.66% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 38.34% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 25.66% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 74.34% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.01%
Under 2.5 91.99%
Over 3.5 2.02% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.98% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Joinville 36.26%
Draw 30.94%
Sao Bernardo 32.78%
Joinville
1-0 @ 13.32% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.25% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.44% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.52% (-0.01)
Total : 36.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.67%
0-0 @ 13.09%
2-2 @ 3.66%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 30.94%
Sao Bernardo
0-1 @ 12.55% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.87% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.87% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.98% (-0.02)
Total : 32.78%