Copa do Brasil
Feb 25, 2026 11.00pm
2
0
HT :
1
0
FT
Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco
-
Pablo Dyego
47'
-
Romisson
45'+3'
Sao Bernardo vs Alagoinhas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Sao Bernardo
Alagoinhas
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Bernardo win with a probability of 48.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.98% and a win for Alagoinhas had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Bernardo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%) , while for a Alagoinhas win it was 0-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result
Sao Bernardo
48.38%
▲
(+0.22)
Draw
27.98%
▼
(-0.04)
Alagoinhas
23.7%
▼
(-0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
43.74%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 1.5
65.46%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
34.54%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 2.5
39.58%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
60.42%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
19.6%
Under 3.5
80.4%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 4.5
10.14%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
89.86%
▲
(+0.02)
First Half Winner
Sao Bernardo
32.58%
Draw
47.21%
Alagoinhas
20.21%
Team To Score First
Sao Bernardo
53.33%
No Goal
11.07%
▲
(+0.08)
Alagoinhas
35.6%
▼
(-0.08)
Corners
Over 8
56.58%
▲
(+0.09)
Equal 8
11.39%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
32.03%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 9
45.08%
▲
(+0.08)
Equal 9
11.5%
Under 9
43.42%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 10.5
34.41%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 10.5
65.59%
▼
(-0.08)
Sao Bernardo Goals
Over 1.5
39.36%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
60.64%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 2.5
16.11%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 2.5
83.89%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
5.05%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
94.95%
▼
(-0.05)
Alagoinhas Goals
Over 0.5
55.33%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 0.5
44.67%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 1.5
20.99%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
79.01%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 2.5
6.05%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 2.5
93.95%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
1.47%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
98.53%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Sao Bernardo
48.38%
Draw
27.98%
Alagoinhas
23.69%
Sao Bernardo
1-0
@
14.55%
▲
(+0.06)
2-0 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.73% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 48.38%
2-0 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.73% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 48.38%
Draw
1-1
@
12.57%
▼
(-0.07)
0-0 @ 11.07% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.98%
0-0 @ 11.07% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.98%
Alagoinhas
0-1
@
8.97%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.69%