Copa do Brasil
Feb 25, 2026 11.00pm
Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco

Sao Bernardo vs Alagoinhas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Bernardo

Alagoinhas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sao Bernardo win with a probability of 48.38%. A draw has a probability of 27.98% and a win for Alagoinhas has a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Bernardo win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.57%) , while for a Alagoinhas win it is 0-1 (8.97%).

Result

Sao Bernardo 48.38% (+0.22)
Draw 27.98% (-0.04)
Alagoinhas 23.7% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.74% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.46% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 34.54% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 39.58% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 60.42% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 19.6%
Under 3.5 80.4% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 10.14% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.86% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Sao Bernardo 32.58%
Draw 47.21%
Alagoinhas 20.21%

Team To Score First

Sao Bernardo 53.33%
No Goal 11.07% (+0.08)
Alagoinhas 35.6% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 56.58% (+0.09)
Equal 8 11.39% (-0.01)
Under 8 32.03% (-0.08)
Over 9 45.08% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 43.42% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 34.41% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 65.59% (-0.08)

Sao Bernardo Goals

Over 1.5 39.36% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 60.64% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 16.11% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 83.89% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 5.05% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.95% (-0.05)

Alagoinhas Goals

Over 0.5 55.33% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 44.67% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 20.99% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 79.01% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 6.05% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 93.95% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 1.47% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.53% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Sao Bernardo 48.38%
Draw 27.98%
Alagoinhas 23.69%
Sao Bernardo
1-0 @ 14.55% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 9.55% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.53% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.07% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.02% (+0.06)
Total : 48.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 11.07% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.03% (-0.02)
Total : 27.98%
Alagoinhas
0-1 @ 8.97% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.47% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.76% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.44% (-0.02)
Total : 23.69%