Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 47.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.53% and a win for Union had a probability of 25.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%) , while for a Union win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.