Brasileiro Gameweek 15
May 9, 2026 10.00pm
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Fluminense vs Vitoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 10.30pm
Internacional 2 - 0 Fluminense
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
John Kennedy

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 10.30pm
Vitoria 4 - 1 Coritiba
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Renato Kayzer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fluminense win with a probability of 66.31%. A draw has a probability of 21.9% and a win for Vitoria has a probability of 11.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (14.22%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.38%) , while for a Vitoria win it is 0-1 (5.03%).

Result

Fluminense 66.31% (-0.36)
Draw 21.9% (+0.12)
Vitoria 11.83% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.02% (+0.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.84% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 29.16% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 44.57% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 55.43% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 22.92% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 77.08% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 13.99% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 86.01% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Fluminense 45.53% (+0.03)
Draw 41.21% (-0.02)
Vitoria 13.26% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Fluminense 67.79% (+0.11)
No Goal 8.23% (-0.16)
Vitoria 23.98% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 47.31%
Equal 8 12.36%
Under 8 40.33%
Over 9 35.71%
Equal 9 11.6%
Under 9 52.69%
Over 10.5 25.72%
Under 10.5 74.28%

Fluminense Goals

Over 1.5 54.34% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 45.66% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 26.66% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 73.34% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 10.58% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.42% (+0.02)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5 42.73% (+0.78)
Under 0.5 57.27% (-0.78)
Over 1.5 12.13% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 87.87% (-0.35)
Over 2.5 2.24% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 97.76% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 0.39% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.61% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Fluminense 66.31%
Draw 21.91%
Vitoria 11.81%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 15.93% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 14.22% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 9.83% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 8.35% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 5.36% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.05% (+0.05)
Other @ 10.57% (-0.01)
Total : 66.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.38% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 8.23% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 2.97% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.91%
Vitoria
0-1 @ 5.03% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 3.2% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 1.67% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.38% (+0.02)
Total : 11.81%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Sep 20, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Apr 20, 2025 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • German Cano 39' goal
  • yellowcard Claudinho 80'
  • goal Lucas Braga 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Oct 26, 2024 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Gustavo Silva 36' yellowcard
  • Neris 45'+1' goal
  • Raul Caceres 74' yellowcard
  • Leo Naldi 87' yellowcard
  • Alerrandro 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Thiago 26'
  • goal Lucas Willians Assis Arcanjo 61' (OG)
  • yellowcard Alerrandro 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jun 27, 2024 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Gabriel 31' yellowcard
  • Samuel Xavier 61' yellowcard
  • Alexsander 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Carpini 32'
  • yellowcard Caio Vinicius 34'
  • goal Janderson 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Sep 6, 2018 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ayrton 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Walter Bou 54'
Brasileiro
May 6, 2018 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Meira Neilton 21' goal
  • Kanu 28' yellowcard
  • Rhayner 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jadson 32'
  • goal Pablo Dyego 73'
  • goal Gilberto 86'