Brasileiro Gameweek 15
May 9, 2026 10.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • John Kennedy 36' goal
  • Kevin Serna 73' yellowcard
  • Hércules 73' yellowcard
  • Hércules 74' yellowcard
  • Kevin Serna 74' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Castillo 74' yellowcard
  • Guga 83' yellowcard
  • Riquelme 83' yellowcard
  • Kevin Serna 90' goal
  • yellowcard Renato Kayzer 63'
  • goal Renê 67'
  • yellowcard Diego Tarzia 75'
  • yellowcard Renzo López 82'
  • yellowcard Zé Breno 82'
  • yellowcard Neris 88'
  • yellowcard Ronald 88'
  • yellowcard Ronald 89'

Fluminense vs Vitoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 10.30pm
Internacional 2 - 0 Fluminense
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
John Kennedy

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 10.30pm
Vitoria 4 - 1 Coritiba
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Renê

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 66.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.88% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 11.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.21%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%) , while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Fluminense 66.3% (-0.02)
Draw 21.88% (-0.02)
Vitoria 11.82% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.99% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.8% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 29.2% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 44.56% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 55.44% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 22.99% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 77.01% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 14.02% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 85.98% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Fluminense 45.43% (-0.11)
Draw 41.3% (+0.09)
Vitoria 13.27% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Fluminense 67.83% (+0.04)
No Goal 8.25% (+0.02)
Vitoria 23.92% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 47.28% (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.34% (-0.02)
Under 8 40.38% (+0.06)
Over 9 35.7% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.58% (-0.02)
Under 9 52.72% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 25.73% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 74.27% (-0.02)

Fluminense Goals

Over 1.5 54.33% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 45.67% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 26.69% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 73.31% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 10.59% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.41% (-0.02)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5 42.7% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 57.3% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 12.13%
Under 1.5 87.87%
Over 2.5 2.25% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 97.75% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.4% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.6% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Fluminense 66.3%
Draw 21.88%
Vitoria 11.82%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 15.92% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 14.21% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.34% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 10.58% (+0.01)
Total : 66.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.25% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 2.96% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.88%
Vitoria
0-1 @ 5.03%
1-2 @ 3.18% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.68% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.39% (+0.02)
Total : 11.82%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Sep 20, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Apr 20, 2025 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • German Cano 39' goal
  • yellowcard Claudinho 80'
  • goal Lucas Braga 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Oct 26, 2024 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Gustavo Silva 36' yellowcard
  • Neris 45'+1' goal
  • Raul Caceres 74' yellowcard
  • Leo Naldi 87' yellowcard
  • Alerrandro 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Thiago 26'
  • goal Lucas Willians Assis Arcanjo 61' (OG)
  • yellowcard Alerrandro 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jun 27, 2024 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Gabriel 31' yellowcard
  • Samuel Xavier 61' yellowcard
  • Alexsander 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Carpini 32'
  • yellowcard Caio Vinicius 34'
  • goal Janderson 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Sep 6, 2018 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ayrton 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Walter Bou 54'
Brasileiro
May 6, 2018 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Meira Neilton 21' goal
  • Kanu 28' yellowcard
  • Rhayner 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jadson 32'
  • goal Pablo Dyego 73'
  • goal Gilberto 86'