Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Operario Ferroviario had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 29.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Operario Ferroviario win was 1-0 (11.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.