Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Operario Ferroviario win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Capital Brasilia had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Operario Ferroviario win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Capital Brasilia win was 0-1 (10.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.